St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
STJ
3 - 0
STR
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1998 |
MHE
1 - 0
STJ
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
CEL
2 - 0
STJ
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
STJ
3 - 2
MHE
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
DUN
0 - 2
STJ
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
SIG
2 - 0
KIL
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1998 |
KIL
2 - 0
DUN
45%
26%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1998 |
KIL
1 - 0
ZEL
33%
26%
42%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 1998 |
ZEL
1 - 1
KIL
74%
17%
10%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
KIL
1 - 1
HIB
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |