St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
GLA
2 - 1
STJ
78%
14%
8%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
STJ
1 - 1
HIB
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
FAL
3 - 0
STJ
45%
25%
31%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
STJ
1 - 1
DUN
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1998 |
MHE
2 - 1
STJ
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
KIL
3 - 0
DUN
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
HOM
1 - 1
KIL
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
ABE
0 - 0
KIL
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1998 |
STR
0 - 2
KIL
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1998 |
KIL
1 - 1
GLA
18%
22%
61%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |