St. Johnstone vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
STJ
0 - 0
ABE
35%
28%
38%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
STJ
4 - 0
STI
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 1
STJ
14%
20%
66%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
STJ
3 - 0
FAL
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
STJ
2 - 0
BRA
58%
24%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
HOM
1 - 2
CEL
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
HOM
1 - 2
BIR
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
BIR
0 - 0
HOM
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
TIN
2 - 4
HOM
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
HOM
2 - 1
TIN
66%
19%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |