St. Johnstone vs Gretna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
STJ
4 - 3
AIR
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
LIV
3 - 2
STJ
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2007 |
STJ
2 - 1
ROS
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
STJ
2 - 1
CLY
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
HAM
2 - 2
STJ
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gretna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
GRE
4 - 1
LIV
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 2
GRE
23%
22%
55%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2007 |
QOS
0 - 4
GRE
14%
20%
67%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 0
DUN
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 0
HAM
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |