St. Johnstone vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
STJ
0 - 1
ABE
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
HOM
1 - 1
STJ
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2010 |
STJ
0 - 2
BOL
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
STJ
2 - 3
HAM
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
FAL
0 - 0
STJ
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 0
PAR
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
DUN
2 - 0
GRE
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
ROS
3 - 1
GRE
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
GRE
0 - 0
STI
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
STR
1 - 7
GRE
33%
24%
43%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |