St. Johnstone vs Brechin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2011 |
STJ
2 - 0
KIL
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 3
STJ
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
STJ
0 - 2
CEL
24%
26%
51%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
STJ
1 - 2
ABE
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
STJ
0 - 3
MHE
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 1
BRE
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
AIR
2 - 3
BRE
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ARB
1 - 1
BRE
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 2
EAS
49%
23%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |