St. Johnstone vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
MHE
1 - 1
STJ
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
HOM
2 - 0
STJ
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
STJ
2 - 1
BHA
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
STJ
1 - 1
ESK
39%
25%
37%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
ESK
2 - 0
STJ
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 0
ROS
39%
28%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 0
ABE
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
STP
1 - 1
ABE
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 0
ABE
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 0
STM
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |