St. Johann vs Kitzbühel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
STJ
1 - 1
LAS
11%
19%
70%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
WAT
3 - 1
STJ
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
STJ
3 - 0
HAR
51%
24%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SCH
2 - 0
STJ
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
STJ
0 - 1
USC
70%
17%
13%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 0
KIT
66%
19%
16%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
KIT
1 - 3
USC
50%
23%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
KUF
2 - 1
KIT
64%
19%
18%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
KIT
1 - 2
FCW
41%
23%
35%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
DOR
3 - 2
KIT
61%
20%
20%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |