St. Johann vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
USC
2 - 1
STJ
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
STJ
2 - 0
HOH
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
SCH
3 - 1
STJ
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
STJ
4 - 1
SAL
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
FCW
3 - 1
STJ
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 3
DOR
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SEE
3 - 3
HAR
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
USC
1 - 1
HAR
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 4
HOH
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 0
HAR
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |