St. Johann vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FCW
3 - 0
STJ
43%
23%
34%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
STJ
6 - 3
SVA
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +3 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
TSV
2 - 2
STJ
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
STJ
0 - 0
WAT
28%
24%
49%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
KUF
0 - 2
STJ
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 3
UNI
80%
13%
8%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
HAL
1 - 3
HAR
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 2
RBJ
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
DOR
4 - 1
HAR
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
FCW
2 - 1
HAR
38%
22%
40%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |