St. Georgen vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
41.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Georgen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
STG
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
STG
2 - 0
STM
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
NEU
0 - 0
STG
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
STG
3 - 0
PUR
39%
24%
37%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
STI
0 - 0
STG
49%
23%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
SIG
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GUS
0 - 4
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
DRA
3 - 0
MAR
34%
22%
44%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
FOR
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
STM
1 - 1
MAR
28%
23%
48%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |