St. Georgen vs Forchtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Georgen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
STM
3 - 0
STG
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
STG
1 - 3
NEU
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PUR
0 - 1
STG
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
JEN
1 - 3
STG
56%
21%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
STG
2 - 0
STI
52%
22%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Forchtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 1
SIG
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GUS
2 - 1
FOR
47%
23%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 3
MAR
26%
22%
52%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
STM
2 - 3
FOR
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
5 - 3
DRA
33%
23%
44%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |