St. Georgen vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Georgen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
PIN
2 - 3
STG
40%
24%
37%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
DRA
4 - 0
STG
51%
21%
27%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
STG
2 - 3
SIG
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
GUS
2 - 4
STG
21%
23%
56%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
STG
3 - 2
MAR
35%
23%
42%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
BAU
2 - 1
SIG
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
GUS
0 - 1
BAU
31%
25%
44%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
BAU
2 - 3
MAR
38%
23%
39%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
5 - 4
BAU
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
BAU
3 - 3
STM
55%
21%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |