St. George FC vs Adelaide City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
21.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Matches
St. George FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1978 |
STG
3 - 2
API
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1978 |
STG
1 - 0
NEW
63%
19%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1978 |
BRI
1 - 2
STG
37%
22%
41%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
STG
1 - 0
WES
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1978 |
HAS
4 - 2
STG
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1978 |
PLI
2 - 3
ADE
42%
22%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1978 |
ADE
4 - 0
ADE
89%
7%
4%
|
73 | 28 | 45 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1978 |
CAN
0 - 1
ADE
45%
22%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
WAD
1 - 1
ADE
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1978 |
ADE
3 - 2
HEU
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |