St George City FA vs Manly United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
44.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
11º
5º
42
8º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St George City FA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SYD
0 - 0
STG
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
STG
0 - 2
MAR
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
WSW
1 - 2
STG
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
STG
3 - 0
NWS
83%
11%
7%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 2
STG
79%
14%
8%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 1
SYD
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
SYD
2 - 1
MAN
71%
15%
14%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 2
ROC
22%
25%
53%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SYD
2 - 2
MAN
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 0
CCM
62%
20%
19%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |