St George City FA vs Bulls Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
11º
5º
15
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St George City FA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 2
STG
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
STG
1 - 1
MAN
34%
21%
44%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SYD
0 - 0
STG
62%
19%
19%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
STG
0 - 2
MAR
22%
24%
54%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
WSW
1 - 2
STG
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bulls Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
BUA
1 - 2
API
5%
10%
86%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
SYD
0 - 0
BUA
90%
7%
3%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BUA
1 - 1
SYD
5%
10%
85%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
WOL
2 - 0
BUA
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MDT
2 - 1
BUA
86%
10%
5%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |