St. Gallen vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
9º
6º
44
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
AUG
4 - 2
STG
35%
24%
41%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
WIN
1 - 0
STG
17%
21%
62%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
STG
48%
22%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
STG
1 - 1
GCZ
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
STG
1 - 2
BAS
37%
24%
40%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ZUR
2 - 1
FCL
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 0
ZUR
39%
26%
36%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ZUR
1 - 1
SER
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ZUR
2 - 2
YOB
31%
24%
45%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
GCZ
1 - 2
ZUR
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |