St. Gallen vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2009 |
LUG
3 - 1
STG
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2009 |
CON
0 - 1
STG
23%
23%
54%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
STG
4 - 0
LAU
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
WIL
1 - 1
STG
28%
26%
47%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
STG
4 - 1
FCG
79%
15%
6%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
WIN
4 - 5
CON
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
LOC
1 - 4
WIN
39%
25%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
STA
2 - 1
WIN
34%
26%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
WIN
1 - 3
SCH
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
WOH
0 - 0
WIN
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |