St. Gallen vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
7º
6º
23
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
STG
2 - 2
WIN
64%
20%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 0
STG
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 0
STG
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
STG
0 - 2
SER
49%
22%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
STG
1 - 4
LUG
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
YOB
1 - 0
STA
76%
15%
8%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
LAU
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SER
3 - 1
STA
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
STA
0 - 3
FCL
26%
24%
50%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
STA
1 - 3
WIN
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |