St. Gallen vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
NAT
0 - 4
STG
8%
16%
77%
|
77 | 38 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
GCZ
1 - 1
STG
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
STG
3 - 0
DEL
67%
19%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
YOB
1 - 2
STG
48%
24%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
STG
0 - 2
NEX
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
BAD
0 - 2
FCL
32%
24%
44%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
NEX
3 - 2
FCL
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
FCL
2 - 0
FCA
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
WIL
2 - 1
FCL
67%
18%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 1
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |