St. Gallen vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1981 |
SER
2 - 1
STG
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1981 |
YOB
3 - 1
STG
56%
23%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
STG
1 - 2
NEX
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
SIO
4 - 1
STG
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
STG
1 - 2
BAS
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1981 |
FCL
1 - 1
ZUR
27%
23%
50%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
CSC
0 - 0
FCL
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
FCL
1 - 1
YOB
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
FCL
1 - 2
NEX
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
LAU
2 - 1
FCL
57%
22%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |