St. Gallen vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
33.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
7º
6º
59
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SER
2 - 0
STG
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
STG
1 - 0
STA
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
STG
2 - 2
WIN
64%
20%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 0
STG
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 0
STG
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 1
LUG
35%
24%
41%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 2
LUG
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 0
ZUR
40%
26%
35%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SER
2 - 1
LUG
39%
24%
37%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
LUG
3 - 3
YOB
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |