St. Gallen vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
STG
2 - 0
FCV
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
STG
2 - 0
ALT
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 4
STG
11%
18%
71%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
STG
1 - 2
YOB
25%
23%
52%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
BAS
0 - 0
STG
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 2
YOB
16%
23%
62%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SIO
1 - 1
LUG
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
LUG
3 - 0
CHI
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 0
LAU
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
YOB
2 - 2
LUG
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |