St. Gallen vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
LAU
2 - 0
STG
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
STG
1 - 1
FCA
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
NEX
3 - 0
STG
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
STG
1 - 0
SER
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1996 |
GCZ
0 - 0
STG
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
LUG
0 - 0
GCZ
18%
26%
56%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
SER
2 - 0
LUG
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
LUG
1 - 1
BAS
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
LAU
4 - 0
LUG
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1996 |
LUG
2 - 2
ZUR
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |