Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 0-4
St. Gallen vs Levski Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
LSO
4 - 0
STG
61%
19%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
STG
1 - 0
FRE
75%
14%
11%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
FRE
2 - 1
STG
29%
21%
50%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
SSO
1 - 1
LSO
46%
25%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
LSO
2 - 1
BVR
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
CHB
1 - 1
LSO
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
LSO
4 - 0
STG
61%
19%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1969 |
LSO
1 - 0
SPA
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |