Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-2
St. Gallen vs Frem 1886 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
FRE
2 - 1
STG
29%
21%
50%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
FRE
2 - 1
STG
29%
21%
50%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
ATH
3 - 2
FRE
82%
12%
6%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1967 |
FRE
0 - 1
ATH
30%
26%
45%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |