St. Gallen vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
LOC
0 - 2
STG
16%
22%
62%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
STG
17%
23%
61%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
STG
1 - 1
WIN
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
STG
1 - 1
BEL
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 1
STG
25%
25%
51%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
FCA
5 - 0
DEL
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BIE
0 - 3
FCA
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 2
WIL
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SCB
0 - 3
FCA
19%
22%
59%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
KRI
0 - 2
FCA
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |