St. Gallen vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
YOB
3 - 0
STG
64%
19%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
STG
1 - 0
FCA
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
FCL
0 - 1
STG
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
STG
1 - 2
THU
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
DEL
1 - 3
STG
15%
20%
65%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
FCA
2 - 3
BAS
16%
21%
64%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
STG
1 - 0
FCA
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 0
GCZ
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCA
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
WIN
1 - 2
FCA
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |