St. Gallen vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
SIO
2 - 1
STG
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
STG
4 - 4
LUG
63%
23%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
YOB
0 - 1
STG
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
LAU
1 - 0
STG
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1998 |
STG
3 - 1
GCZ
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
FCA
0 - 2
NEX
29%
24%
46%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCA
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1998 |
FCA
1 - 4
SER
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
FCA
0 - 2
ZUR
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
FCL
2 - 2
FCA
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |