St. Gallen vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
ZUR
1 - 1
STG
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
STG
1 - 1
NEX
30%
27%
44%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
STG
1 - 1
LAU
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
FCA
2 - 0
STG
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
STG
1 - 3
NEX
31%
28%
42%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
FCA
2 - 1
BAS
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
GCZ
4 - 2
FCA
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
SER
1 - 2
FCA
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
FCA
2 - 0
STG
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
YOB
1 - 1
FCA
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |