St. Gallen vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1987 |
LAC
1 - 6
STG
27%
28%
46%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1987 |
STG
2 - 0
YOB
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1987 |
VEV
0 - 4
STG
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
SER
3 - 1
STG
70%
18%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1987 |
STG
3 - 1
LAU
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1987 |
FCA
3 - 1
LOC
79%
14%
8%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1987 |
SIO
3 - 2
FCA
73%
17%
11%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1987 |
FCA
2 - 1
BAS
62%
20%
17%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCW
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1987 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCA
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |