St. Gallen vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
18.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1985 |
LAC
0 - 0
STG
39%
26%
36%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1985 |
STG
6 - 1
GCZ
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1985 |
YOB
1 - 1
STG
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1985 |
STG
5 - 1
WIN
79%
14%
8%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1985 |
VEV
0 - 0
STG
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1985 |
FCA
2 - 1
VEV
72%
17%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1985 |
FCW
1 - 3
FCA
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1985 |
FCA
0 - 3
NEX
41%
23%
37%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1985 |
SIO
2 - 2
FCA
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1985 |
FCA
3 - 1
SER
31%
23%
47%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |