St. Gallen vs Young Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
8º
1º
3
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
5º
|
10 | 40 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 38 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 37 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 36 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 35 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 33 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 29 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 28 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 23 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 23 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 21 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 20 |
12º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
92% | 36.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 63.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
STG
4 - 1
TOB
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 0
STG
28%
24%
49%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FCV
0 - 1
STG
17%
20%
63%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
RAP
3 - 1
STG
13%
18%
69%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
STG
2 - 1
CSU
64%
19%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SER
3 - 1
YOB
42%
26%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
YOB
1 - 2
SIO
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
YOB
1 - 0
FCA
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
YOB
1 - 3
WIL
79%
14%
8%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
HKR
2 - 2
YOB
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |