St. Gallen vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
38.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
7º
6º
40
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
STG
6 - 1
VIL
17%
21%
62%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LAS
1 - 1
STG
44%
23%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
STG
1 - 2
SCA
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 4
STG
10%
15%
75%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
STG
2 - 1
SCH
73%
16%
12%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
OLD
0 - 3
BAS
5%
13%
83%
|
83 | 35 | 48 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 3
SLB
27%
24%
49%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 2
BAS
16%
22%
63%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 1
CSK
61%
22%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 1
GCZ
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |