St. Gallen vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2004 |
STG
1 - 2
WIL
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
GCZ
3 - 2
STG
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
STG
1 - 3
YOB
46%
24%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SER
3 - 1
STG
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
THU
2 - 3
STG
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
BAS
6 - 0
NEX
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
BAS
2 - 2
GCZ
59%
20%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
YOB
0 - 1
BAS
34%
24%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
STG
1 - 2
BAS
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
NEW
1 - 0
BAS
56%
22%
21%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |