St. Gallen vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
SER
4 - 1
STG
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
STG
2 - 2
GCZ
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1985 |
STG
2 - 0
VEV
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
BAD
0 - 1
STG
24%
27%
50%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1985 |
STG
2 - 2
LAU
68%
19%
14%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
BAS
1 - 0
SIO
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
ZUR
1 - 0
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1985 |
LAU
2 - 2
BAS
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
BAS
0 - 3
FCW
71%
17%
11%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1985 |
VEV
2 - 2
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |