St. Gallen II vs Eschen/Mauren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
8º
4º
8
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
16 | 63 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 62 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 59 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 59 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 53 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
|
10º
|
8 | 40 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 35 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 35 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 31 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 29 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 22 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
32% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FCW
0 - 0
STG
37%
23%
40%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STG
0 - 2
YFJ
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MEN
1 - 1
STG
15%
19%
65%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
STG
2 - 2
TUG
50%
23%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HON
0 - 2
STG
13%
18%
70%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Eschen/Mauren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
ESC
1 - 3
UZW
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 3
ESC
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ESC
1 - 1
KOS
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 0
ESC
45%
24%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ESC
6 - 0
LIN
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |