Union St. Florian vs Sturm Graz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union St. Florian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
WAC
4 - 1
STF
66%
20%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
FEL
3 - 2
STF
62%
22%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
STF
1 - 0
UNP
57%
24%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
WEL
3 - 0
STF
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
STF
1 - 1
GRI
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
STU
2 - 2
FEL
35%
26%
40%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
UNP
1 - 1
STU
31%
28%
41%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
STU
1 - 4
WEL
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
GRI
0 - 1
STU
22%
24%
54%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
STU
0 - 0
FCK
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |