Povltavská FA vs Petřín Plzeň analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
4º
13º
9º
4
3º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 35 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 32 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 31 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 29 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 24 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 23 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 23 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 21 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 20 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 20 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 16 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 15 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 15 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 15 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 11 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Povltavská FA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STC
3 - 3
SOK
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
STC
1 - 1
KOL
33%
23%
44%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 2
STC
40%
24%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
FCB
4 - 0
STC
35%
23%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
STC
2 - 0
FKD
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Petřín Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PRI
4 - 0
SPP
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SPP
2 - 1
DOU
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
SPP
1 - 6
DKP
61%
19%
20%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
SPP
0 - 7
VKP
6%
15%
79%
|
40 | 83 | 43 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
ROK
2 - 3
SPP
13%
17%
70%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |