St. Albans City vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Albans City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
STA
2 - 1
EAS
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
STA
4 - 1
BIL
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BAT
0 - 2
STA
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
STA
1 - 1
COR
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
STA
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
FOR
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
SAL
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
LEY
1 - 1
FOR
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SCU
0 - 2
FOR
17%
24%
59%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 2
BHA
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |