St. Albans City vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Albans City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 1
STA
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
STA
2 - 3
WHI
56%
21%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BAT
2 - 0
STA
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
STA
0 - 1
CON
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
WES
0 - 2
STA
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
EBB
3 - 0
FAR
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
FAR
1 - 4
GOS
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FAR
0 - 1
SUT
22%
24%
54%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FAR
0 - 1
BIS
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FAR
0 - 3
EBB
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |