FA Cup 1/256
Global 2-2
St. Albans City vs Corinthian-Casuals analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Albans City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
STA
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 2
STA
18%
24%
58%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
STA
3 - 1
MET
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MET
0 - 0
STA
32%
25%
44%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
STA
1 - 0
HAV
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Corinthian-Casuals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
STA
21%
25%
54%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
COR
0 - 3
MER
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
WIN
0 - 3
COR
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
WIN
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
WOR
1 - 0
COR
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |