Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-3
SSW Innsbruck vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSW Innsbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
SSW
4 - 0
AUS
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1978 |
RAP
2 - 0
SSW
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
ZAG
2 - 3
SSW
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1978 |
SSW
1 - 1
STR
69%
19%
11%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1978 |
GRA
1 - 0
SSW
38%
29%
33%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Zagłębie Sosnowiec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
ZAG
1 - 1
WLO
45%
28%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
ZAG
2 - 3
SSW
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
SZO
3 - 1
ZAG
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
ZAG
0 - 1
WAR
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1978 |
RCH
2 - 1
ZAG
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |