Cup Final
Global 3-2
SSW Innsbruck vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSW Innsbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1975 |
SSW
1 - 0
FCB
78%
13%
8%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1975 |
FCB
2 - 1
SSW
32%
23%
46%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1975 |
SSW
5 - 1
VIE
69%
18%
14%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
SIM
0 - 3
SSW
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
MON
3 - 0
SSW
88%
9%
4%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1975 |
STR
2 - 0
AUS
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1975 |
AUK
1 - 1
STR
40%
30%
30%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1975 |
STR
2 - 0
AUK
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1975 |
2 - 0
STR
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1975 |
STR
4 - 1
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |