Ulm Sub 19 vs Mainz 05 Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
72.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 3
SSU
80%
14%
6%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SSU
1 - 2
GRE
14%
20%
66%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NUR
7 - 3
SSU
78%
15%
7%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SSU
3 - 2
WEH
51%
23%
26%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MUN
1 - 0
SSU
83%
12%
5%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05 Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
MAI
2 - 4
KAI
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 1
MAI
45%
24%
32%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MAI
2 - 3
AUG
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
MAI
5 - 0
WEH
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
STU
0 - 2
MAI
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |