Ulm U19 vs Greuther Fürth U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+110%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
8º
6º
8
6º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 24 |
3º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 5 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ING
1 - 2
SSU
77%
15%
9%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SSU
3 - 1
SJR
31%
22%
47%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
BYM
4 - 2
SSU
87%
9%
5%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SSU
2 - 2
AUG
27%
20%
53%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
6 - 1
SSU
80%
13%
8%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
UNT
1 - 2
GRE
72%
16%
12%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
AUG
50%
21%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
ING
0 - 0
GRE
82%
13%
6%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 2
MUN
24%
21%
56%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BYM
5 - 2
GRE
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | -1 |