SSV Merten vs Union Schafhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
17.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+153%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
9º
3º
12
4º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 73 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 55 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 37 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 35 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 33 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 33 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 32 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 24 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 28.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 71.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSV Merten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
HUR
2 - 3
MER
28%
22%
50%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MER
6 - 3
SPV
60%
18%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
PES
2 - 1
MER
47%
22%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MER
4 - 0
SPF
34%
24%
42%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
KON
3 - 1
MER
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Union Schafhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SPV
0 - 2
USC
44%
22%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
USC
1 - 1
SPF
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VFL
1 - 4
USC
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +3 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
USC
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BSC
5 - 0
USC
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |