SSV Merten vs SpVgg Frechen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
42.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSV Merten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
SIE
36%
24%
41%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BFR
3 - 1
MER
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MER
0 - 4
SVB
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
MER
3 - 1
ALT
43%
23%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
WEG
4 - 0
MER
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
DIE
3 - 0
SPF
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SPF
1 - 1
SVD
45%
22%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SIE
1 - 1
SPF
50%
21%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SPF
2 - 1
BFR
31%
22%
47%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SVB
1 - 4
SPF
47%
22%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |