SSV Merten vs Pesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
23%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+219%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSV Merten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FBH
4 - 2
MER
37%
23%
40%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MER
4 - 2
SVD
77%
14%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SPF
3 - 0
MER
41%
23%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MER
2 - 2
TMA
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FVW
2 - 4
MER
33%
23%
44%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PES
0 - 1
TMA
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FVW
2 - 1
PES
47%
22%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PES
4 - 1
TMO
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PES
4 - 1
FVE
68%
17%
14%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CRB
1 - 3
PES
17%
20%
63%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |