SSV Merten vs Düren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSV Merten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
BER
1 - 0
MER
72%
17%
12%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MER
1 - 3
SPF
35%
22%
43%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
SIE
36%
24%
41%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BFR
3 - 1
MER
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MER
0 - 4
SVB
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
DUR
0 - 3
SPF
39%
22%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SIE
1 - 1
DUR
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
DUR
0 - 0
BFR
35%
22%
43%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
DUR
1 - 1
SVB
59%
20%
22%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
WEG
3 - 0
DUR
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |